First-home prices rising even faster this quarter

File Image.

First-home prices have risen even further on average this quarter than last, despite growing evidence of investors leaving the market.

That's the key finding in the latest QV Quartile Index, which tracks residential property prices and sales at both ends of the market – namely the top 25 per cent most expensive houses in New Zealand, and the bottom 25 per cent least expensive houses.

Of the 16 major urban centres that are monitored, house prices have been rising fastest overall at both ends of the market in Napier, Marlborough and Hastings, with upper and lower quartile average house prices also making some very large double-figure gains in Whangarei and Hutt City respectively.

QV general manager David Nagel says there's growing evidence to suggest that significant numbers of investors have hit pause following the Government's recent tax changes.

"But we've yet to see any impact of this on house prices with the entry-level houses they typically target rising in value even faster than before the announcement."

The prices of NZ's most expensive housing have also risen more rapidly this quarter than last.

As previously reported, though the lower quartile continues to outperform the upper quartile in most areas of the country, the gap between the two appears to be gradually narrowing as price pressure begins to shift upward.

For the April quarter, the difference between average price growth in the upper and lower quarters of the residential property market was less than half a percentage point – down from 0.9 per cent and 0.6 per cent in previous months.

"The gap isn't narrowing because any heat has come out of the lower end of the market yet. It's narrowing because next-home buyers have been feeling confident enough to make the most of low interest rates and previous capital gains to up-sell their home for something better," says David.

"Ex-pat Kiwis returning from overseas continue to play a prominent role in the housing market too. They're not confined to one end of the market, competing with first-home buyers at the lower end of the market and also with next-home buyers further up.

"It'll be interesting to see whether these Kiwis will stay put when the world slowly begins to open up again or whether we'll see more stock become available as they head off on their next adventures."

3 comments

Stop the blame game!!

Posted on 26-05-2021 12:43 | By The Professor

Stop looking for people to blame for house price increases. Nothing other than the natural economic cycles will prevent house prices from increasing. It was only a few years ago that Kiwi's were blaming the Chinese and other foreign buyers for the increases in house prices, even though they only represented around 1% of house/property purchases in NZ. Increases have gained momentum since foreigners were stopped. And now increases are gaining further momentum since the Government changed the rules around taxes. Stop interfering and let the housing market ride the natural and inevitable cycles. In the long term, house prices will always increase in value.....that's as certain as paying taxes and death!!


Good news

Posted on 26-05-2021 14:46 | By Slim Shady

Long may it continue.


Tom Ranger

Posted on 26-05-2021 17:16 | By Tom Ranger

They've used covid to introduce CGT and avoid having riots against them. As if planned by the NWO. Totally agree with The Professor.


Leave a Comment


You must be logged in to make a comment.