Falling regional property prices tempering

File photo.

The rate of falling property prices in two of the most buoyant markets - Bay of Plenty and Wellington - has slowed down, says Trade Me Property Sales Director Gavin Lloyd.

Wellington's average asking prices slid down $126,800 from May 2022 to $837,550.

'While on the face of it the drop is high, the region's year-on-year prices fell by $139,700 in April which is $13,000 more than May, suggesting we're at the start of a flattening market,” says Gavin.

There is a similar pattern in the Bay of Plenty, with its year-on-year average asking price dropping $104,050 to $881,050 - $7000 less than April's fall.

'While we are still seeing a reversal of the pandemic price gains, it appears that in some regions we may be close to the bottom of the market.”

The Auckland market was yet to see prices ease with the average asking price falling $161,500 from 2022 to just over a million dollars at $1,065,350.

'This was our most heated market, which is correcting to more sustainable levels.”

New Zealand property price drops ease as West Coast joins the decline

Trade Me's Property Price Index for May saw year-on-year house prices in the West Coast dip for the first time in the post-Covid property market, as price drops start to soften across New Zealand.

New Zealand's average asking price fell $99,500 from 2022 to $850,150 after two consecutive months of six-figure year-on-year drops, says Gavin.

'For the last seven months, the national average asking price has fallen, including year-on-year decreases in 14 of the 15 regions we monitor.

'However, the West Coast, New Zealand's cheapest region, was an outlier, with asking prices continuing to increase despite drops everywhere else. That changed in May when the region's average asking prices also dropped.”

The affordability of the West Coast, which had an average asking price of $409,700 in May, gave it greater immunity to the property market drops, says Gavin.

'While it was a very slight drop of 0.1 per cent from 2022 it was still a U-turn, signalling the ongoing effects the increased interest rates and cost of living are having on house sales.”

However, Gavin says there were signs the market was levelling out.

'May's national average asking price fell by 10.5 per cent, easing from the 10.9 per cent falls we saw in both March and April.

'Declines in property values are slowing and as we approach the end of interest rate rises, this gives promise that buyers and sellers will both have more certainty as we head out of the winter months.”

The twists and turns of supply and demand

Gisborne and Hawke's Bay both saw substantial drops in both supply and demand from May 2022, following the impacts of Cyclone Gabrielle.

Gisborne's supply dropped by 33 per cent, and demand 21 per cent from May 2022. While Hawke's Bay's supply dropped by 14 per cent and demand by 7 per cent.

'As a small market, the shifts in the Gisborne property market appear a lot more dramatic, but both regions are feeling the pain of Gabrielle.

'As they recover from the devastation we expect there to be less interest in the property markets there, with people waiting for decisions to be made.”

Elsewhere in the country, both Taranaki and Southland increased their supply by 23 per cent in May 2023, while Wellington's supply dropped by that same amount of 23 per cent.

'Wellington vendors appear to be holding tight to see what happens in the market and if factors such as the Reserve Bank's move to increase the capacity of low deposit lending improves conditions for selling.”

Christchurch gains

The only properties in New Zealand to increase in average asking price year-on-year, were in Ōtautahi.

Christchurch apartments rose 10 per cent to $701,300, while the Garden City's larger houses of 5+ bedrooms spiked 7.5 per cent to $1,221,900.

'Ōtautahi is New Zealand's city of the moment, with real energy and momentum,” says Gavin.

'The legacy of the earthquake rebuild is an ongoing story. A lot of the apartments in Christchurch have been rebuilt to a high quality, which is part of the reason they are getting healthy prices.”

1 comment

The tide will turn soon!

Posted on 13-06-2023 20:45 | By Ben Dover

It's time to buy now. I've seen this kind of slump in property prices four times over the past 20 years and every time, it bottoms out then shoots back up at a rate of knots.


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